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Downtown reinvestment fund's uncommitted cash would sink to about $2.7 million by 2028 under forecast going to its board Tuesday

A five-year projection for Tax Increment Reinvestment Zone No. 1 shows the downtown fund falling from $28.5 million to $7.2 million by fall 2028 as big projects are paid for, then rebuilding with help from the Notes Live venue.

Cody Esparza· AI-assisted, edited by Jake Team

October 19, 20262 min read

McKinney Development Plan - illustration, Jake Team LLC

The fund that pays for downtown McKinney facade grants, streetscapes and other improvements is about to spend down much of its savings, according to a five-year forecast prepared for the zone's board.

The board of Tax Increment Reinvestment Zone No. 1 meets at 5:15 p.m. Tuesday, Oct. 20, in the City Hall council chambers at 401 E. Virginia St. Staff will present the forecast along with changes to the zone's administration policy.

The board had asked for more financial detail before deciding funding requests, especially requests that run past a category's budget or fall in categories without a cap.

The projection

The zone began the 2025-26 fiscal year with about $28.5 million. Staff estimate it ended that year near $23.7 million, then project:

| Fiscal year ends | Total fund balance | Unrestricted balance | |---|---|---| | 2026-27 | $16.6 million | $12.7 million | | 2027-28 | $7.2 million | $2.7 million | | 2028-29 | $10.2 million | $5.0 million | | 2029-30 | $13.6 million | $7.8 million | | 2030-31 | $17.3 million | $10.8 million |

The rest of each year's balance is set aside for transportation, a reserve the forecast shows growing from about $3.9 million to $6.6 million over the period.

The steep drop through 2028 comes from spending in a category labeled district enhancement, budgeted at roughly $13 million in each of the next two fiscal years before falling back under $1 million a year. A catalyst category carries $9.4 million in the year that just ended and $3.4 million to $4.4 million a year from 2027-28 on.

The forecast also includes $500,000 for pilot and innovation projects in 2026-27 and about $1.4 million to $1.5 million a year for vacant and underutilized buildings.

A footnote on the staff presentation says the balances already account for anticipated projects that have not been awarded money yet.

Saving for parking and fire protection

The presentation lists what the board wants to keep money available for: fire suppression in downtown buildings and downtown parking management, including a new parking structure and technology to show where spaces are open.

New revenue from Notes Live

On the income side, the forecast adds property tax from the Notes Live project starting at about $291,000 in 2026-27 and climbing to roughly $972,000 by 2030-31, plus sales tax from the venue of about $442,000 in 2028-29 and about $885,000 a year after that.

Total yearly revenue is projected to rise from about $8.2 million to $10.8 million, even as interest earnings shrink from $1.77 million two years ago to a projected $500,000.

The policy amendments on the same agenda drop language that tied staff recommendations to an internal scoring method and add a one-page chart of project types, required matches and caps. Staff are also reworking their standard reports so each funding request shows its effect on the fund.

Sources

webapi.legistar.com

legistar1.granicus.com

webapi.legistar.com

legistar1.granicus.com

legistar1.granicus.com

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Cody Esparza· AI-assisted, edited by Jake Team

Cody Esparza covers McKinney city hall, the council, and county government.

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